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August 3rd, 2011

The Final Speech Yesterday at the Capital

Congressman Otter (R): Ladies and gentlemen, I’ll be brief. The issue here is not whether we broke a few rules, or took a few liberties with our constituencies and the economy – we did!

[winks at Speaker Wormer]

Congressman Otter: But you can’t hold a whole Congress responsible for the behavior of a few, sick twisted individuals. For if you do, then shouldn’t we blame the whole government system? And if the whole government system is guilty, then isn’t this an indictment of our society in general? I put it to you, Mr. President – isn’t this an indictment of our entire American society? Well, you can do whatever you want to us, but we’re not going to sit here and listen to you badmouth the United States of America. Gentlemen!

[Congress then adjourns until the month of September]

August 3rd, 2011

Unemployment Insurance – Cost/Benefit to Society

from Con

Whether it’s the Employer or Employee who is literally paying Unemployment Insurance, the Employees are the ultimate Payee and distinction is artificial because it’s not a cost that is, for example, passed on to consumers or reflected in higher capital costs or other expenses, etc. – it is invariably reflected in lower wages.

The argument I’ve heard as to why it is ‘mandatory’ and administered by Gov’t is that if there is complete choice, we create a ‘tragedy of The Common’ situation. Society would STILL pay for unemployment and the individual would suffer much more.

Anyone living paycheck-to-paycheck could ‘go under’ in only a few pay cycles. What do they do then? I’ve found that those who argue ‘Let them choose and if they choose wrong, let them become Homeless!’ are those who have never lived paycheck-to-paycheck (which creates a powerful feeling of vulnerability and powerlessness even with Benefit coverage).

Whether it’s the Employer or Employee who is literally paying Unemployment Insurance, the Employees are the ultimate Payee and distinction is artificial because it’s not a cost that is, for example, passed on to consumers or reflected in higher capital costs or other expenses, etc. – it is invariably reflected in lower wages.

The argument I’ve heard as to why it is ‘mandatory’ and administered by Gov’t is that if there is complete choice, we create a ‘tragedy of The Common’ situation. Society would STILL pay for unemployment and the individual would suffer much more.

Anyone living paycheck-to-paycheck could ‘go under’ in only a few pay cycles. What do they do then? I’ve found that those who argue ‘Let them choose and if they choose wrong, let them become Homeless!’ are those who have never lived paycheck-to-paycheck (which creates a powerful feeling of vulnerability and powerlessness even with Benefit coverage).

from Kevin

Con has the right of it. If unemployment insurance becomes optional private insurance like disability then the people who need it most (people in low paying jobs) will be the ones who forego it in favor of some other purchase they feel they need to make. If and when they do need it and don’t have it society will ultimately pay more in the form of food stamps, welfare, etc. as these people quickly become unable to support themselves, have to leave their apartments and houses, etc. When that happens they will really have problems getting another job and the government will end up paying more. This is different than disability insurance where very few people end up using it so the cost to society and the government of people not having it is much lower.

There is also the issue of the size of the risk pool. If unemployment insurance is an optional private entity then I’m not going to think about getting it if I feel I have no need of it. If the economy goes into the dumpster or I’m having problems with my boss, then I’m going to want to buy it. The upshot of the deal is the insurance will mostly be covering high risk people and it will cost a lot to purchase. Then none of those low income people are going to be able to afford it, even if they want to.

When looking at if insurance would be private (even private and mandatory) I’d also take a look at what would happen in a down economy as well. That’s when the insurance company’s cost associated with payouts will skyrocket. If the companies go under because of that (as was part of our recent crisis) then who will end up paying anyway? It will be the tax payers. It also doesn’t follow that private companies are more efficient. I’ve only found that to be true in organizations under stress (private or public). The other thing you need to compare is the profit motivation and what that costs (and benefits) society. Don’t forget that the government also makes economic decisions to extend unemployment insurance when they consider it good for the overall economy. Private companies do not do this type of calculus.

The difference between this and disability insurance is that the societal risk behind disability is much lower. Unlike disability insurance many people need unemployment insurance and so the cost to society of people who don’t have it is astronomical. We’ve run into all these same problems with health insurance. Most people end up needing it and the cost for society people not having it is very high. This has been a huge financial burden to the organization that pays for what happens when people are financially devastated due to not having health insurance, the government and by extension society as a whole.

Thanks,

Kevin

Con has the right of it. If unemployment insurance becomes optional private insurance like disability then the people who need it most (people in low paying jobs) will be the ones who forego it in favor of some other purchase they feel they need to make. If and when they do need it and don’t have it society will ultimately pay more in the form of food stamps, welfare, etc. as these people quickly become unable to support themselves, have to leave their apartments and houses, etc. When that happens they will really have problems getting another job and the government will end up paying more. This is different than disability insurance where very few people end up using it so the cost to society and the government of people not having it is much lower.

There is also the issue of the size of the risk pool. If unemployment insurance is an optional private entity then I’m not going to think about getting it if I feel I have no need of it. If the economy goes into the dumpster or I’m having problems with my boss, then I’m going to want to buy it. The upshot of the deal is the insurance will mostly be covering high risk people and it will cost a lot to purchase. Then none of those low income people are going to be able to afford it, even if they want to. Read the rest of this entry »

August 2nd, 2011

How the Senate Voted

It is clear from these votes that the moderate Republicans and Democrats could have come together a long time ago without manufacturing a crisis. Instead, Boehner was bamboozled by the Tea Party and was solely focused on preserving his Speakership. He is now viewed to be vulnerable unless he kisses you-know-what. It will be interesting to see what comes about over the next 15 months.

YES Votes (74)     NO Votes (26)  
Member Party State   Member Party State
Daniel K. Akaka D HI   Kelly Ayotte R NH
Lamar Alexander R TN   Saxby Chambliss R GA
John Barrasso R WY   Daniel Coats R IN
Max Baucus D MT   Tom Coburn R OK
Mark Begich D AK   Jim DeMint R SC
Michael Bennet D CO   Kirsten Gillibrand D NY
Jeff Bingaman D NM   Lindsey Graham R SC
Richard Blumenthal D CT   Charles E. Grassley R IA
Roy Blunt R MO   Tom Harkin D IA
John Boozman R AR   Orrin G. Hatch R UT
Barbara Boxer D CA   Dean Heller R NV
Scott Brown R MA   James M. Inhofe R OK
Sherrod Brown D OH   Ron Johnson R WI
Richard M. Burr R NC   Frank R. Lautenberg D NJ
Maria Cantwell D WA   Mike Lee R UT
Benjamin L. Cardin D MD   Robert Menendez D NJ
Thomas R. Carper D DE   Jeff Merkley D OR
Bob Casey D PA   Jerry Moran R KS
Thad Cochran R MS   Ben Nelson D NE
Susan Collins R ME   Rand Paul R KY
Kent Conrad D ND   Marco Rubio R FL
Christopher A. Coons D DE   Bernard Sanders I VT
Bob Corker R TN   Jeff Sessions R AL
John Cornyn R TX   Richard C. Shelby R AL
Michael D. Crapo R ID   Patrick J. Toomey R PA
Richard J. Durbin D IL   David Vitter R LA
Michael B. Enzi R WY         Read the rest of this entry »
August 2nd, 2011

How the House Voted

Joe Courtney and Jim Himes voted YES and Rosa DeLauro, Chris Murphy, and John Larsen voted NO. All are Democrats. It became obvious that leadership of both parties managed the voting by approving or disapproving NO votes.

66 Republicans voted NO (about the number of Tea Party faithful) and 95 Democrats voted NO. 174 Republicans voted YES and 95 Democrats voted YES.

From USAToday: “So what was its reaction when the House passed a deal Monday night that would raise the debt ceiling in exchange for deficit reductions of more than $2 trillion without tax increases?

‘Political suicide,’ according to Tea Party Nation founder Judson Phillips. Tea Party Patriots co-founder Jenny Beth Martin said the deal was ‘destroying America’s future.’

Sen. Rand Paul, a freshman Republican from Kentucky who co-founded the Senate Tea Party Caucus, argued that the deal never balances the budget and lamented that it did not contain a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution. Rep. Paul Broun, a Republican from Georgia who has been embraced by the Tea Party, even proposed lowering the debt ceiling to rein in federal spending.”

House Representative House Rep. Voting Yes (269) House Rep. Voting No (161)
Sandra Adams R FL-24   Gary L. Ackerman D NY-5
Robert B. Aderholt R AL-4   Todd Akin R MO-2
Rodney Alexander R LA-5   Justin Amash R MI-3
Jason Altmire D PA-4   Michele Bachmann R MN-6
Robert E. Andrews D NJ-1   Tammy Baldwin D WI-2
Steve Austria R OH-7   Xavier Becerra D CA-31
Spencer Bachus R AL-6   Rob Bishop R UT-1
Lou Barletta R PA-11   Earl Blumenauer D OR-3
John Barrow D GA-12   Leonard L. Boswell D IA-3
Roscoe G. Bartlett R MD-6   Bruce Braley D IA-1
Joe L. Barton R TX-6   Mo Brooks R AL-5
Charles F. Bass R NH-2   Paul Broun R GA-10
Karen Bass D CA-33   Corrine Brown D FL-3
Dan Benishek R MI-1   Ann Marie Buerkle R NY-25
Rick Berg R ND-1   Dan Burton R IN-5
Shelley Berkley D NV-1   G. K. Butterfield D NC-1
Howard L. Berman D CA-28   Michael E. Capuano D MA-8
Judy Biggert R IL-13   Dennis Cardoza D CA-18
Brian P. Bilbray R CA-50   André Carson D IN-7
Gus Bilirakis R FL-9   Jason Chaffetz R UT-3
Timothy H. Bishop D NY-1   Judy Chu D CA-32
Sanford D. Bishop Jr. D GA-2   Hansen Clarke D MI-13
Diane Black R TN-6   Yvette D. Clarke D NY-11
Marsha Blackburn R TN-7   Emanuel Cleaver II D MO-5
John A. Boehner R OH-8   Steve Cohen D TN-9
Jo Bonner R AL-1   John Conyers Jr. D MI-14
Mary Bono Mack R CA-45   Chip Cravaack R MN-8
Dan Boren D OK-2   Joseph Crowley D NY-7
Charles Boustany Jr. R LA-7   Elijah E. Cummings D MD-7
Kevin Brady R TX-8   Geoff Davis R KY-4
Robert A. Brady D PA-1   Peter A. DeFazio D OR-4
Vern Buchanan R FL-13   Diana DeGette D CO-1
Larry Bucshon R IN-8   Rosa DeLauro D CT-3
Michael C. Burgess R TX-26   Scott DesJarlais R TN-4
Ken Calvert R CA-44   Mike Doyle D PA-14
Dave Camp R MI-4   Jeffrey Duncan R SC-3
John Campbell R CA-48   Donna Edwards D MD-4
Francisco Canseco R TX-23   Keith Ellison D MN-5
Eric Cantor R VA-7   Eliot L. Engel D NY-17
Shelley Moore Capito R WV-2   Sam Farr D CA-17
Lois Capps D CA-23   Bob Filner D CA-51
Russ Carnahan D MO-3   Jeff Flake R AZ-6
John Carney D DE-1   Chuck Fleischmann R TN-3
John Carter R TX-31   John Fleming R LA-4
Bill Cassidy R LA-6   J. Randy Forbes R VA-4
Kathy Castor D FL-11   Barney Frank D MA-4
Steven J. Chabot R OH-1   Trent Franks R AZ-2
Ben Chandler D KY-6   Marcia L. Fudge D OH-11
David Cicilline D RI-1   Scott Garrett R NJ-5
William Lacy Clay D MO-1   Phil Gingrey R GA-11
James E. Clyburn D SC-6   Louie Gohmert R TX-1
Howard Coble R NC-6   Charlie Gonzalez D TX-20
Mike Coffman R CO-6   Trey Gowdy R SC-4
Tom Cole R OK-4   Tom Graves R GA-9
K. Michael Conaway R TX-11   Al Green D TX-9
Gerald E. Connolly D VA-11   Morgan Griffith R VA-9
Jim Cooper D TN-5   Raúl M. Grijalva D AZ-7
Jim Costa D CA-20   Janice Hahn D CA-36
Jerry F. Costello D IL-12   Ralph M. Hall R TX-4
Joe Courtney D CT-2   Andy Harris R MD-1
Rick Crawford R AR-1   Vicky Hartzler R MO-4
Ander Crenshaw R FL-4   Alcee L. Hastings D FL-23
Mark Critz D PA-12   Rush Holt D NJ-12 Read the rest of this entry »
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